Today, I was posted on the FanGraphs Community Blog for the ninth time. Please check it out at: http://www.fangraphs.com/community/bryce-harper-better-in-2016/
It seems like every four years, someone is going to tell you that the upcoming election is the most important one we might ever have. Of course, importance is relative. Below, all 58 presidential (general) elections, ranked by their importance as Americans went to the polls, from least to most important.
Factors throughout include:
- Number of candidates.
- The extent philosophical differences between candidates. The closer the major candidates were, the fewer the consequences would have been had the election gone the other way.
- The importance of these philosophical differences. Ethanol subsidies and slavery don’t hold equal weight.
In a 1990 episode of Cheers, Cliff Clavin appears on Jeopardy and loses $22,000 on a spectacularly bad Final Jeopardy wager.
He led the game $22,000-$3,800 and yet risked everything in the last round and lost. It’s a very funny scene.
But it turns out that a similar wager once took place during an actual game, a summary of which can be found here.
Every year, millions of dollars are poured into betting on the Super Bowl. The two most prominent things you can bet on are the points spread and the over/under. By combining where these two things end up, one can approximate what score might have been expected based on these lines.